Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 144.301716 158.510635 173.051741 189.017879 206.028155 223.581570 243.036829
2025-01-26 123.726136 145.212485 168.224644 194.585186 223.825343 255.147905 291.117832
2025-02-02 107.196664 133.906482 163.742826 199.243575 240.029742 285.125975 338.454065
2025-02-09 94.609770 125.276463 160.884517 204.715525 256.635717 315.609582 387.072839
2025-02-16 84.152500 117.750799 158.195424 209.538353 272.029633 344.692493 434.600117
2025-02-23 70.385306 104.522117 147.217525 203.173442 273.174752 356.484072 461.686478
2025-03-02 60.305277 94.803128 139.534083 199.900896 277.308670 371.344247 492.216122
2025-03-09 53.267875 88.305939 135.265601 200.327558 285.588544 391.022917 528.615912
2025-03-16 47.874342 83.458541 132.646383 202.452512 295.734491 412.920248 567.892698
2025-03-23 44.917050 81.770051 134.067134 209.788627 312.612807 443.450355 618.334281
2025-03-30 41.393785 78.834000 133.418855 214.071009 325.358474 468.765380 662.463293
2025-04-06 36.896736 73.898730 129.473008 213.406645 331.216463 485.064359 695.146873
2025-04-13 32.716033 69.119728 125.520976 212.638972 337.045639 501.684589 728.946282
2025-04-20 30.910660 68.110036 127.151959 219.926501 354.144071 533.538994 783.159398
2025-04-27 28.919337 66.564397 127.810368 225.729512 369.240217 562.951022 834.621729
2025-05-04 27.243468 65.386201 128.913113 232.133978 385.238273 593.766976 888.321809
2025-05-11 25.535618 63.957382 129.476897 237.657395 400.018076 623.103021 940.414781
2025-05-18 21.715863 58.053567 122.259003 230.814645 396.561930 627.208486 958.563225
2025-05-25 18.914965 53.763015 117.389047 227.299523 397.707606 637.511500 985.044155
2025-06-01 17.044222 51.132401 115.163413 227.811286 404.726246 656.018941 1022.840636
2025-06-08 15.621096 49.272435 114.146312 230.168910 414.485490 678.458289 1066.242828
2025-06-15 15.088054 49.333549 116.578694 238.232769 433.038155 713.621526 1127.605599
2025-06-22 14.154359 48.353659 117.012791 242.936848 446.482400 741.617003 1179.294299